Invest 97W
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Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Invest 97W in the Philippine Sea. Low chance of development. Current wind speed 30km/h.
Maximum sustained surface winds are around 30–35 km/h (15–20 knots). Minimum sea-level pressure is estimated to be near 1009 hPa.
Satellite imagery shows a broad low-level circulation (LLC) obscured by disorganized flaring convection.
A 25/23:20 UTC ASCAT pass shows a broad circulation with winds of 30–35 km/h (15–20 knots) in the northern and eastern edges. Analysis for the area shows marginally favorable conditions for development with moderate to high (20–25 knots) northwesterly wind shear, warm (29–30°C) sea surface temperatures, and moderate equatorward outflow aloft.
Global deterministic models are not in agreement with the development of 97W, GFS gradually intensifies the system while ECMWF shows little to no development over the next 2 days.
Ensemble guidance is in fair agreement on a northwest track with GEFS being more aggressive on development than that of ECENS.