Tropical Storm Wutip 2025

Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Tropical Storm Wutip 2025 (台風1号) near Hainan, China. Current wind speed 95km/h. Max 100km/h.

Wutip is located 491 km southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam, and has tracked northwestward at 7 km/h (4 knots) over the past 6 hours. Maximum significant wave height is 6.4 meters (21 feet).

Wutip is forecast to round the axis of a subtropical ridge to the northeast within the next 12 to 24 hours. At the same time, the low-level circulation center is expected to travel outside the western edge of Hainan island, prior to making a northeastward turn, eventually leading to landfall near or just west of the Leizhou Peninsula.

As the system transits over the warm waters of the Gulf of Tonkin, it is expected to slightly intensify, despite potential land interaction, and reach 100 km/h (55 knots) in 12 to 24 hours.

As soon as the system makes landfall over mainland China, it is forecast to begin dissipating and to complete the process in 3 days. Model guidance is in good agreement throughout the forecast, as witnessed by a 56 km cross-track spread maximum prior to landfall, opening up to 139 km in 3 days.

The only outlier is currently GFS, which predicts a slightly more western track soon after landfall, however the distance from the consensus is just 56 km.

Intensity guidance is in fair agreement with all models predicting intensification throughout the initial 12 to 24 hours, followed by a steady weakening trend.

Notable outliers are HAFS and NAVGEM-driven COAMPS-TC, with both indicating peak intensity around 130–140 km/h (70–75 knots), however considering the likely timeline of the landfall, those are assessed to be unlikely scenarios.

JTWC track and intensity forecasts are both laid in close proximity to the multi-model consensus guidance with high and medium confidence accordingly.