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Cyclonic Storm Shakhti 2025

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Cyclone Shakhti

Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Cyclonic Storm Shakhti 2025 in the Arabian Sea. Current wind speed 100km/h. Max 110km/h.

Shakhti is located 437 km southwest of Karachi, Pakistan, and has tracked west-southwestward at 11 km/h (6 knots) over the past 6 hours. Maximum significant wave height is 5.5 meters (18 feet).

Shakhti is forecast to continue its west-southwestward track over the next 36 hours as Shakhti is influenced by the southeastern edge of the primary steering ridge.

In 36 to 48 hours, the weaker subtropical ridge over the Indian subcontinent will build and extend southwest, causing Shakhti to stall in the increasingly competitive steering environment.

Shakhti is forecast to slowly turn south during this time, but models are in significant disagreement over when and where the turn will occur.

Once the turn is completed, in around 2 days, Shakhti is expected to be picked up by the now dominant subtropical ridge to its south and track east-southeastward until dissipation in around 3 days.

Regarding intensity, Shakhti is expected to intensify slightly to 110 km/h (60 knots) at 12 hours, before beginning a consistent weakening trend in 24 hours to 3 days.

Dissipation is forecast to occur in 3 days, due to significant dry air entrainment that is expected to smother the system. Shear is also expected to increase during this time, to 35–45 km/h (20–25 knots), contributing to expedited dissipation.

Deterministic models are in good agreement over the next 36 hours, with all models showing a southwestward track. Afterwards, however, track guidance diverges, with large differences in the track speed and how sharp of a turn Shakhti will take.

NAVGEM is the largest outlier in JTWC consensus, holding Shakhti on a straight southwestward track until the next 60 hours. The GFS ensemble mean falls in the other extreme, forecasting Shakhti to make a hairpin recurve at 36 hours before tracking due east.

The JTWC track forecast is most similar to ECMWF and GFS deterministic, slightly to the east of the multi-model consensus mean. As a result of the large model discrepancies, the JTWC track forecast placed with overall low confidence.

Reliable intensity guidance, on the other hand, is in strong agreement throughout the forecast period, with all models forecasting a peak at 12 hours before consistently weakening, supporting the JTWC intensity forecast with overall medium confidence.