Satellite images and tracking maps of Category 1 Hurricane Rachel 2014, September 24 - October 3. Max wind speed 85mph.
Rachel artfully draws to a close. Deep convection associated with Rachel dissipated about 15 hours ago and it is unlikely to redevelop due to unfavorable thermodynamic factors and strong shear. Based on these conditions, the cyclone is being declared a post-tropical remnant low at this time. Dvorak intensity estimates have decreased further and the initial intensity has been lowered to 25 knots. Global model guidance shows the remnant low degenerating into an open trough by Friday. The official intensity forecast is close to the previous forecast and the GFS model.
During the last couple of hours, the now-shallow vortex associated with Rachel has taken on a southward drift. A slow southwestward motion is expected during the next two days as it continues to move around the eastern periphery of a low-level ridge. The track forecast is essentially an update of the previous one, nearly between the ECMWF and GFS model solutions.
This is the last advisory on Rachel by the National Hurricane Center. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC.
Information provided by NHC.