Hurricane Nolo 2026

Live tracking map, satellite, radar, and forecasts of Hurricane Nolo 2026 near Hawaii. Current wind speed 105mph. Max 130mph.

Strong and gusty winds are expected for all of the Hawaiian Islands through today (27 September), and interests in the Hawaiian Islands should continue to monitor the progress of Nolo.

Heavy rain and flooding threats from Nolo are diminishing across the Hawaiian Islands as the storm continues to move to the west-southwest away from the Islands.

Large and damaging waves are likely along portions of the Big Island's coastline through today.

Nolo's structure has continued to improve over the last several hours with the eye becoming better defined as as cloud tops have cooled around the center of the hurricane. An Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft is sill investigating Nolo at this time and so far have found peak flight level winds around 105 mph (92 knots), which would support for an intensity around 100 mph (85 knots). There was also a dropsonde in the northwest eyewall that observed a 500 m layer average of 120 mph (104 knots). In addition, the objective intensity estimates are in the range of 87–109 knots. With the current improvement in the stucture of Nolo, the lowering minimum pressure observed with the aircraft, and assuming higher flight-level winds exist in the north eyewall where the aircraft has not yet sampled, the initial intensity has been raised to 105 mph (90 knots) for this advisory.

The hurricane is moving mainly west-southwestward or 250/9 knots. Nolo is expected to continue to move on the southwestern side of a mid-level ridge for the next day or so. Afterwards, the cyclone should turn northwestward due to the influence of a mid- to upper-level low. At the end of the forecast period, Nolo should then turn back to the west again, as the hurricane rotated around the northern side of the low. The official track forecast is similar to the previous one just some minor adjustments based on the HCCA and the GDMI forecast aids.

The cyclone is expected to remain in a favorable environment with low wind shear and warm sea-surface temperatures. This should allow for continued intensification for the next 24 hours, and Nolo is forecast to become a major hurricane in the next 12 hours and peak as a category 4 hurricane. After 48 hours, gradual weakening is expected as the SHIPS model outputs indicate that wind shear will increase in the 48–96 hours period due to the interaction with the upper-level low. Beyond 96 hours, the wind shear may relax again and this could allow some restrengthening. The NHC intensity forecast is still on the high end of the guidance envelope, but slightly under the HCCA and some of the hurricane regional models.