Cyclonic Storm Montha 2025
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Live tracking map, satellite, radar, and forecasts of Cyclonic Storm Montha 2025 in the Bay of Bengal. Current wind speed 85km/h.
Montha is located 1067 km south-southwest of Kolkata, India, and has tracked north-northwestward at 19 km/h (10 knots) over the past 6 hours. Maximum significant wave height is 5.5 meters (18 feet).
Montha will maintain a north-northwestward track for the duration of the forecast period as it remains under the steering influence of the subtropical ridge to its northeast. Landfall is forecast to occur in around 24 hours, southwest of Visakhapatnam, India.
The environment will become increasingly unfavorable as Montha approaches land, with wind shear remaining above 55 km/h (30 knots) and dry air already beginning to entrain along the northeastern edge of the storm.
Undeterred by the deteriorating environmental conditions, Montha will maintain an intensity of 85 km/h (45 knots) through landfall. Following landfall, Montha will steadily weaken until dissipation over land in around 36 hours.
Deterministic model track guidance is in strong agreement that Montha will maintain a north-northwestward track for the duration of the forecast period, supporting the JTWC track forecast with high confidence.
The JTWC track forecast is placed in concurrence with the bulk of individual members and the multi-model track consensus. Intensity aids are also in strong agreement that Montha will remain at around 85 km/h (45 knots) over the next 12 hours, then weaken steadily once it makes landfall before 24 hours. As a result, the JTWC intensity forecast is placed with high confidence.