Tropical Depression Krovanh 2026

Live tracking map, satellite, radar, and forecasts of Tropical Depression Krovanh 2026 (台風24号) south of Japan. Current wind speed 55km/h. Max 85km/h.

Krovanh (Philippine name Pilandok, Japanese Typhoon Number 24) is located 482 km east of Kadena Air Base, and has tracked north-northeastward at 19 km/h (10 knots) over the past 6 hours. Maximum significant wave height is 4.3 meters (14 feet).

The trajectory is forecast to be nearly due north over the next 24 hours. Following the next 24 hours, Krovanh will begin to turn northeastward as it rounds the steering ridge axis and approaches southern Japan.

Krovanh is then expected to skirt the coast of the Shikoku and Kansai regions after 36 hours as it accelerates northeastward. In terms of intensity, Krovanh is forecast to maintain its current intensity of 55 km/h (30 knots) over the next 36 hours under the effects of the marginal environment.

Dry air entrainment and southerly shear is expected to worsen through this time; however, the poleward outflow channel will improve. After 36 hours, southwesterly shear will significantly increase, causing Krovanh to weaken just before making landfall in Japan.

The shallow vortex will then rapidly erode and stretch over the mountainous terrain with dissipation forecast to occur in around 2 days, south of Kyoto.

Model track guidance is now in good agreement over the next 36 hours with a cross-track spread measured to be about 93 km. After 36 hours, along-track spread sharply increases due to varying track speeds around the ridge axis between models.

The EC-AIFS and the experimental Google DeepMind ensemble mean are among the fastest trackers, while the ECMWF and ECMWF ensemble mean are much slower.

In 2 days the along-track spread is measured to be 130 nautical miles, causing there to be some uncertainty in track speeds following the northeastward turn.

The JTWC track forecast is placed near the multi-model consensus over the next 36 hours and then closer to the Google DeepMind over the next 2 days.

Intensity guidance generally agrees on a steady intensity over the next 36 hours followed by weakening with no notable outliers present.

The JTWC intensity forecast is placed near the consensus over the next 36 hours and then slightly lower over the next 2 days due to the expected rapid weakening over Japan.