Tropical Depression Joyce 2024
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Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Tropical Depression Joyce 2024 in the central Atlantic Ocean. Current wind speed 35mph. Max 50mph.
Joyce's center is mostly exposed, with only a few cells of deep convection forming intermittently within the circulation. Joyce continues to experience strong southwesterly vertical wind shear due to a large upper-level trough over the central Atlantic. The current intensity is held at 35 mph (30 knots) which is similar to the objective AIDT and DPRINT estimates from UW-CIMSS. This may be a generous estimate, however, given the current appearance of the system.
The cyclone has not moved much with only a slightly south of westward drift noted, and the current motion estimate is 260/2 knots. It seems that the weakened system is now being steered primarily by the low-level flow. Therefore the official track forecast is slower than the previous predictions. This is similar to the motion implied by the latest ECMWF forecast fields which show a very weak system drifting generally northward for the next day or two.
Given the lack of convection, the environment of dry air, and the expectation of persistent shear, Joyce should soon degenerate into a remnant low. The official intensity forecast is similar to the previous one. The remnant cyclone should dissipate in 48–60 hours if not sooner.