Measure Distance

Measure Area

Click on the map to add points. Double‑click to finish.

Tap on the map to add points.

Tropical Storm Ivo 2025

Last Modified:

Tropical Storm Ivo

Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Tropical Storm Ivo 2025 near Michoacán, Mexico. Current wind speed 40mph. Max 75mph.

Ivo's satellite presentation is that of a storm that is steadily intensifying. Deep convection has been continuously forming while the central deep overcast has been expanding through the evening. However, overnight scatterometer data from 04:12 UTC revealed a dubious, at best, low-level circulation. The data suggests that even though the mid-level rotation appears robust, the low-level flow has yet to reflect such organization, likely due to Ivo's rapid forward motion. The intensity is held at 40 mph (35 knots) based on the latest satellite-derived wind data.

The motion is estimated to be 295/20 knots. Ivo is racing along the southern side of a strong mid-level ridge centered over the southwestern United States. This motion is expected to continue for the next day or so which should keep the tropical cyclone moving parallel to, but offshore of, the coast of southwestern Mexico. Around 36 hours, Ivo is expected to turn more westward and slow down. The latest NHC track forecast is slightly faster than the previous forecast and lies between the various consensus aids.

Ivo is still forecast to steadily strengthen over then next day or so. Moderate vertical wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures, and a moist environment should provide the necessary conditions for the cyclone to reach hurricane status within the next couple of days. Ivo is expected to cross over cooler waters by 72 hours, which should induce a gradual weakening trend. Global models predict increasing shear will separate the cyclone from deep convection and Ivo is now forecast to become post-tropical by 96 hours. The official intensity forecast remains at the high end of the model guidance.

The tropical-storm-force winds associated with Ivo are expected to remain offshore of the coast of Mexico, however heavy rain and rough surf are likely along portions of the southwest coast of Mexico during the next day or so. Outer bands of Ivo are expected to produce locally heavy rainfall in portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán de Ocampo and Colima through Friday. Flash flooding is possible.