Hurricane Gil 2025

Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Hurricane Gil 2025 in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Current wind speed 75mph.

Gil has likely reached its peak intensity. Satellite imagery shows convection in the northwestern quadrant has mostly eroded, likely due to dry air entrainment and the system now moving over marginal sea surface temperatures below 26°C. However, the cyclone still displays impressive banding features wrapping around its southern and eastern sides. Subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB remain steady at 4.0/65 knots, consistent with objective satellite estimates ranging from 50 to 80 mph (70 knots). Based on these data, the initial intensity is held at 75 mph (65 knots).

The initial motion is estimated at 300/17 knots, steered by a strong mid-level ridge to its north. This general motion is expected to continue into Sunday, followed by a gradual turn toward the west as the cyclone weakens and becomes increasingly steered by the low-level flow. The new NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous one and remains close to the consensus aids.

Gil is expected to begin weakening through the day Saturday as it continues moving over progressively cooler waters and encounters increasingly dry and stable mid-level air. These unfavorable conditions should lead to a gradual erosion of the cyclone’s convective structure. Simulated satellite imagery from global models suggests that Gil will lose its deep convection and become post-tropical by Sunday, or in about 36 hours. The system is then forecast to gradually spin down and dissipate by day 5, in line with the majority of the global model guidance.