Tropical Storm Chantal 2025
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Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Tropical Storm Chantal 2025 near South Carolina, United States. Current wind speed 60mph.
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area beginning soon and continuing through Sunday morning.
Heavy rainfall across portions of North Carolina will cause flash flooding concerns through Monday, especially in urban areas.
Chantal is expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip currents along the coast from northeastern Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so. Beach goers should heed the advice of lifeguards and local officials.
Strong convection continues to persist in the northeastern quadrant of Chantal, with the center located on the southwestern edge of the burst. This convection has been causing a gradual increase in organization of the storm, with an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft recently reporting 850-mb flight-level winds of 65 mph (57 knots), which equate to about 50 mph (45 knots) at the surface. This data is also close to derived velocity radar data from Wilmington, showing peak 8000 ft winds of about 65 mph (55 knots), and TAFB's latest satellite classification of 50 mph (45 knots). The current intensity is set to 50 mph (45 knots) in agreement with these values.
The current motion estimate is 350/7, and Chantal could turn to the north-northwest before landfall due to a narrow mid-level ridge. A turn to the northeast is expected later on Sunday as Chantal becomes more embedded within the low- to mid-level flow around the west side of the ridge. There is little time left for any intensification, and Chantal should make landfall within the next 6 hours at about the present intensity (45–50 knots). Steady weakening will occur after landfall with the loss of the warm water heat source, and Chantal is expected to dissipate over eastern North Carolina by early Monday. The track forecast was nudged to the east, with little change to the intensity forecast.
Chantal is expected to remain asymmetric with its strongest winds and rainfall to the right of the landfall location.