Tropical Storm Barbara 2025

Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Tropical Storm Barbara 2025 near Mexico in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Current wind speed 70mph. Max 75mph.

Barbara has been gradually decreasing in organization since earlier today (9 June). Deep convection is rather fragmented with limited banding features. Although thunderstorm activity could temporarily increase tonight after the diurnal minimum, overall the system appears to be on a weakening trend. All of the objective intensity estimates are now below hurricane strength. A blend of subjective Dvorak T- and C.I. numbers from TAFB gives about a 60-knots intensity estimate, which is used for this advisory.

The cyclone continues on a northwestward track with a motion of around 310/10 knots. A weak mid-level ridge to the north of Barbara should maintain this northwestward motion for a while, albeit with some decrease in forward speed. In 36–48 hours, the system should become a remnant low and turn westward following the shallow-layer flow. The official track forecast is roughly in the middle of the divergent track guidance and a little to the left of the previous NHC track. This is between the GFS and ECMWF solutions.

The storm is crossing a gradient of sea surface temperatures and headed for cooler waters and a drier, more stable environment. Therefore continued weakening is likely, and Barbara is expected to become a remnant low in 36 hours. The official forecast is below the LGEM guidance but above the dynamical models, which suggest that the system will dissipate sooner than indicated here.