Tropical Depression Atsani 2026
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Live tracking map, satellite, radar, and forecasts of Tropical Depression Atsani 2026 (台風21号) in the Philippine Sea. Current wind speed 55km/h.
Atsani (Philippine name Saudel, Japanese Typhoon Number 21) is located 785 km south-southwest of Iwo To, and has tracked northward at 30 km/h (16 knots) over the past 6 hours. Maximum significant wave height is 3.7 meters (12 feet).
Atsani is forecast to continue tracking generally northward, with a slight north-northwestward turn expected within the next 12 hours.
Atsani will move northeastward in the wake of typhoon Saudel over the next 36 hours, at which point, it is expected to get overwhelmed by the increasingly hostile environment and dissipate. Wind shear is expected to remain between 45–65 km/h (25–35 knots) with persistent dry air entrainment for the duration of the forecast period, quickly weakening the system.
Within the past few hours, Atsani has become incredibly elongated along the northwest-southeast axis, indicating that dissipation may occur quicker than expected.
Deterministic model track guidance is in strong agreement over the next 36 hours, though many models drop the vortex after 12 hours. As a result, the JTWC track forecast is placed close to the multi-model consensus with high confidence.
Reliable intensity aids are also in strong agreement that Atsani will steadily weaken until dissipation in 36 hours, lending high confidence to the JTWC intensity forecast.