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Tropical Storm Amanda 2026

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Tropical Storm Amanda

Live tracking map, satellite, radar, and forecasts of Tropical Storm Amanda 2026 in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Current wind speed 40mph. Max 60mph.

Visible and infrared satellite imagery have depicted increasing organization of Amanda today (3 June) with curved banding noted. A SAR RCM-2 pass from earlier this morning (3 June) showed a slightly larger and more uniform wind field around the center of Amanda, and the center position was slightly farther south than previously forecast. The initial position of the storm has been adjusted accordingly. Subjective and objective Dvorak analyses range from 30–40 knots, so the initial intensity is maintained at 40 mph (35 knots).

Amanda is moving toward the west-northwest with an initial motion of 300/8 knots. A mid-level ridge to the northeast will support a northwestward to west-northwestward motion over the next couple of days. A turn toward the west then west-southwest with a slower forward speed is expected by this weekend as the ridge strengthens and builds westward. The official forecast has been shifted slightly southward through the forecast period to account for the initial position adjustment and model trends, and is close to the Google DeepMind forecast track.

The storm is embedded within a rather humid low- and mid-level air mass, and all model guidance supports steady strengthening within the next 36 hours. GFS and EC SHIPS RI probability model guidance has decreased since the previous forecast cycle, showing a 10 to 20% chance of rapid intensification over the next 24 to 36 hours. The official NHC forecast shows a peak intensity of 60 mph (50 knots), which lies near the higher end of the model guidance. Amanda will encounter a drier mid-level environment and increasing shear beyond 36 hours, and may struggle to produce convection this weekend. Slow to steady weakening is expected as a result, and Amanda is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low at Day 5, though some models suggest this could occur sooner than forecast.