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Invest 95W

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Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Invest 95W south of Japan. High chance of development. Current wind speed 35km/h.

Satellite imagery shows persistent deep convection over the eastern edge of a consolidating low-level circulation center (LLCC).

A 21/23:00 UTC ASCAT MetOp-B 25km image shows elevated southerly winds (20 knots) beginning to wrap into the system. Analysis shows 95W is currently in a favorable environment for development with low (10–15 knots) wind shear from the southwest, moderate poleward outflow aloft and warm (29–30°C) sea surface temperatures.

The only hindrance to development currently is a tropical upper tropospheric trough (TUTT) cell positioned west of the system that is currently restricting outflow.

Forecast models are in good agreement that 95W will continue to track north-northwestward and intensify over the next 24 hours as it continues to distance itself from the aforementioned TUTT cell.