Invest 93P (Tropical Low 33U)
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Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Invest 93P in the Arafura Sea. Medium chance of development. Current wind speed 45km/h.
Maximum sustained surface winds are around 35–45 km/h (20–25 knots). Minimum sea-level pressure is estimated to be near 1006 hPa.
Satellite imagery shows a broad and slowly consolidating partially-exposed low-level circulation center (LLCC) with flaring convection.
Analysis shows a moderate to unfavorable environment for development with moderate to high wind shear of 35–45 km/h (20–25 knots), good poleward upper-level outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures of 28–29°C.
Deterministic and ensemble models are in good agreement that Invest 93P (Tropical Low 33U) will continue to track generally westward, then remain near the Arafura Sea and slowly develop over the next 1 to 2 days.