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Invest 93A

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Live tracking map, satellite images and forecasts of Invest 93A south of Mumbai, India. Medium chance of development. Current wind speed 45km/h.

Maximum sustained surface winds are around 35–45 km/h (20–25 knots). Minimum sea-level pressure is estimated to be near 1000 hPa.

Infrared imagery and a 21/08:30 UTC ATMS image shows low-level clouds continuing to consolidate with fragmented convection flaring up over the center of the system.

Analysis shows favorable conditions for development with low to moderate (15–20 knots) easterly wind shear, moderate poleward outflow aloft, and very warm (28–30°C) sea surface temperatures.

Global deterministic and ensemble models are in fair agreement that 93A will continue to steadily intensify, however ECMWF is less aggressive than other deterministic models, reaching TC criteria later than other models do.