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Tropical Depression 10W 2026

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Tropical Depression 10W

Live tracking map, satellite, radar, and forecasts of Tropical Depression 10W 2026 near Hainan, China. Current wind speed 55km/h. Max 75km/h.

10W (Philippine name Henry) is located 337 km east-northeast of Da Nang, Vietnam, and has tracked west-southwestward at 11 km/h (6 knots) over the past 6 hours. Maximum significant wave height is 4.6 meters (15 feet).

The track is expected to resume a northwestward trajectory toward Hainan island within the next 12 hours under the steering influence of the subtropical ridge to the northeast.

Initial landfall along the southeastern coast of Hainan is forecast shortly before 18 hours, then 10W is expected to reemerge over water in the Gulf of Tonkin just before 30 hours, with a second landfall near the sino-Vietnamese border region shortly before 2 days.

The decaying remnants will then track inland over mainland China on a north-northeasterly track for the remainder of the forecast period.

There is expected to be a brief window of opportunity for the system to intensify before tracking over Hainan, then another brief period of intensification over the Gulf of Tonkin, reaching a peak of 75 km/h (40 knots) just before the second landfall.

Model track guidance is in overall agreement about the eventual northwestward trajectory over Hainan island and a second landfall near the sino-Vietnamese border region, with a cross-track spread of 176 km at 2 days.

The GFS deterministic and the GFS ensemble mean comprise the easternmost solutions while the experimental Google DeepMind is the westernmost solution.

The JTWC track forecast is placed slightly to the west of the multi-model consensus, hedged closer to the Google DeepMind with medium confidence throughout the forecast period.

Model intensity guidance shows a continuous intensification until the second landfall, then rapid weakening over land.

The JTWC intensity forecast is placed below the multi-model consensus for the period of time that the system is transiting over Hainan island, then follows closely to the ultimate weakening trend depicted by the consensus models.