Hurricane Genevieve 2026

Live tracking map, satellite, radar, and forecasts of Hurricane Genevieve 2026 in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Current wind speed 90mph. Max 145mph.

Genevieve is rapidly intensifying. The subjective Dvorak number from TAFB was 4.5/77 knots at 06:00 UTC, and D-PRINT numbers from UW-CIMSS were around 95 mph (82 knots) at the time, so the intensity was initialized at 90 mph (80 knots) for 06:00 UTC. Subsequent to 06:00 UTC, a ragged eye showed up on IR imagery for a few frames with cloud tops colder than -70°C completely surrounding it. However, the eye and core still seem to be fluctuating and trying to organize, so the 09:00 UTC intensity will also be 90 mph (80 knots).

Genevieve has continued moving toward the west-northwest, but a bit faster now (300 degrees at 15 knots). The hurricane is being steered by strong mid-tropospheric ridging that extends from the southwestern United States to the western Caribbean Sea. This feature will continue to steer Genevieve west-northwestward or northwestward for the next few days, although the hurricane’s speed will likely slow down to 7–8 knots in 2 to 3 days when a mid-level trough develops over southern Mexico. The track guidance is fairly tightly clustered. The new NHC track is nudged slightly faster and to the south of the previous forecast track, in between the previous track and the latest HCCA (HFIP corrected consensus) and GDMI (Google Deep Mind Ensemble Mean).

Genevieve has strengthened by 30 mph (25 knots) in the past 12 hours and 40 mph (35 knots) in the past 24 hours. Rapid intensification is expected to continue given the highly favorable thermodynamic environment of sea-surface temperatures in excess of 30°C and a humid mid-level air mass. The cyclone should also remain in a low-to-moderate vertical wind shear environment for the next couple of days. SHIPS Rapid Intensification (RI) guidance and DTOPS continue to forecast a fairly high probability of an additional 50 mph (45 knots) of strengthening over the next 36 hours. Given that some of the latest intensity guidance has increased, the NHC intensity forecast has been increased accordingly, now showing a peak of 145 mph (125 knots) in 36–48 hours. The new NHC intensity forecast is higher than most of the hurricane regional models and GDMI, but not as high as the HCCA. Gradual weakening is likely to begin after 48 hours as Genevieve gradually encounters cooler sea-surface temperatures, and a drier and more stable environment. However, Genevieve is forecast to remain a hurricane through day 5.

The wind radii were increased significantly, based on a recent ASCAT pass.